Policy Signals
If you are shaping a SAF mandate, levy or subsidy, or preparing for one, the hard part is seeing its effect on supply, prices and investment before it lands. Start with the question you are weighing.
What will this rule do to supply, prices and plants built?
Who gains and who pays?
How do the design options compare?
Does it deliver at a sensible cost?
What you take away
A clear answer on the rule
- The effect on supply, prices and investment, by market and year.
- Who gains and who pays, across suppliers, airlines and the public purse.
- The design options compared on the same basis.
- The signposts to watch once the rule is in force.
If you work in government, a regulator or a ministry, or carry an obligation that is about to change, these questions are likely to be yours.
To assess the standard of our work first, request an Introductory Signal.
Confidence in the answer
One basis across markets
- Every answer tells you how sure we are.
What your Signal looks like
Your question
The decision in front of you, in your words
The verdict
Proceed · wait · move · stop
Our central case
Plus the sensitivities you want to test
What would change it
The signposts to watch, with dates
How sure we are
Graded sources and the range of outcomes
Your next question
The one this answer usually raises
Where your next question may lead
If your interest is
what each option costs per tonne of warming avoided
Introductory Signal
As an introduction to our work, we will prepare an initial Signal on a defined question of your choosing, at our expense. It sets out our view, the reasoning and evidence behind it, and a range of outcomes we see, in the most common form we deliver to any client.
It allows you, and those you report to, to assess the standard of our work against a decision that matters to you, before any mandate is agreed.
Provided under a mutual non-disclosure agreement; one per organisation. All rights reserved, including copyright, our discretion over engagements and the preservation of our independence.
Requests to action@circulairity.co.
See what a mandate, levy or subsidy will do to supply, prices and investment, before it lands